My Insane and Bold Prediction of the Week

Every week, I’ll make a crazy but somewhat legitimate prediction for an upset in the college football world.

It was a close call last week, but LSU ended all hopes of the first upset call of the year by using some Les Miles magic. You’d have to think the jar of magic is almost emptied out by now.

Tennessee had won the game for a brief moment. For just a moment, the upset was complete — until the piece of yellow laundry was spotted. Tennessee had 13 men on the field and LSU was given a gift. They had one more chance to avoid the embarrassing defeat.

I do feel sorry for the Vols. I mean, they thought this game was over. The band was playing Rocky Top, players were celebrating, etc. Dooley won’t blame the officials, but he did send in a letter to the SEC about the officiating.

I was partially right, though. Les Miles did go into somewhat of a chaotic, downward spiral after the game. Easy Les..

This week’s upset special:

Chaos in Manhattan. Kansas State upends the #7 Cornhuskers.

The Line: Nebraska -11
Over/Under: 48.5

 

Nebraska's Freshman QB, Taylor Martinez (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

 

This is more of a gut feeling than anything. The Wildcats get a night game on ESPN on their home field. I’d say the crowd will be a little more hyped up than it usually is and that could cause some issues for the Huskers freshman QB, Taylor Martinez. I won’t disagree that the Cornhuskers probably played down to their opponent last week (South Dakota State), but you still expect a good team to take care of business.

Nebraska is largely untested to this point with victories over Western Kentucky, Idaho, Washington and South Dakota State so it’s easy to see why they have been thrashing their opponents. They are average at stopping the run and Kansas State loves to run the football with senior running back Daniel Thomas.

The Wildcats need to establish the ground game early and I can see them controlling the clock to keep the ball away from the Huskers offense. I think K-State will have a difficult time containing the Nebraska run game (the ‘Cats are ranked 102nd nationally allowing 195.5 yards per game on the ground) so I don’t see them containing Taylor Martinez that well. Still, Martinez did struggle last week and he’s just a Freshman.

 

Kansas State Senior Running Back, Daniel Thomas (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

 

Part of the reason Nebraska was so successful last year was because of their defense. They had a fierce pass rush that averaged 3.1 sacks per game. The big reason for that pass rush, Ndamukong Suh, now plays in the NFL for the Detroit Lions. While Nebraska still gets 2.25 sacks per game, it’s not nearly as disruptive of a unit as last season. This was a top 10 rush defense last season. It’s currently ranked 53rd. Nebraska is still very much a question mark, as well as the 4-0 Wildcats.

Kansas State does have some better looking wins so far against UCLA and UCF and you can be sure they will break the top 25 with an upset this week. I don’t think Nebraska will be able to stop Kansas State running the ball and I look for Taylor Martinez to throw an interception or two to help the Wildcats out a bit. Watch out for Kansas State tonight on ESPN at 6:30 pm CST.

Final Prediction: Kansas State 30, Nebraska 27

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3 responses to this post.

  1. Similar to the Kentucky call. I made a convincing case, right? Right!?

    Note to self: No more gut feelings.

    Reply

  2. Posted by Rex on October 8, 2010 at 10:41 am

    Ehhhh. You win some you lose some. Tailgate & Cover got it right 🙂

    Reply

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